2022/03/23 BTC技術分析 BTC Technical Analysis

昨日我有提到我們有一個短期的收斂三角

Yesterday I mentioned that we have a short-term Ascending Triangle is forming.

之後我們成功的突破價格往上 有小賺一些

We see a beautiful breakout snice then, I made some nice profit.

不過昨天那時候還沒有用1000USDT的計畫 稍嫌可惜

But I didn't use the 1000USDT account to trade, which is a shame.

不過沒關係 交易機會有很多 交易最需要的就是耐心

But it's fine, we have many chances for trading.

The most importance for trading is patience.

先來看一小時圖

Let's take a look in 1 Hour chart first.

好我們突破最好還要有一個必要條件 就是帶量

Ok, during the breakout we need to see volume coming in our trade.

我們看到當突破黃色平行線(阻力位)之後 成交量放大

When we see we breakout of this yellow Resistance, our volume also increased.

量增價漲→延續價格趨勢

Volume increase → Continuation of price trend,

在此案例價格趨勢是往上

In this case our trend is upward.

接下來我會把這些線先用不見 我要來更細節的討論

Next up I'll clean up these red line to take a deeper look.

這張圖也一樣是一小時圖 如果想交易槓桿可以注意一下

Here's also 1 hour chart, if you want to trade leverage you can pay attention to it.

如果還不知道K棒的組成 可以去看一下我以前的影片 我會在文章最後放上連結

If you still don't know how Candle stick is formed, I'll put the link at last.

(Sorry it's in Chinese)

這裡我想要解釋一下成交量遞減 我昨日有提到但是沒有畫線出來

Here I want to mention the descending of volume(I didn't draw it yesterday).

其實交易量也可以畫一條下降壓力線 來判斷說這突破有沒有交易量

Actually for volume we can also draw a downtrend line, it's easier for us to judge if this breakout is with/without volume.

那麼在上漲的過程中

我們"通常"不會直接看到價格直接一根兩根K棒就到很高

Usually in a uptrend, we don't really see price go to sky high in 1 or 2 candle stick.

而是在上漲的過程中不斷地有回調(短期的下降趨勢)出現

Usually we'll have a correction during a uptrend,

就好比現在的案例

For example in our chart right now.

我們達到某個高度之後開始進入盤整狀態

When we hit certain level, our price will go in to sideway.

這時候我們看到交易量又開始遞減 (代表在累積量)

And! Now we're seeing our volume is descending again(accumulating volume)

這個累積量我們不太能預測說他接下來一定往上或是往下

We can't really predict where the price is going now.

而是必須去觀察 這阻力跟支撐他是否是有效的

We need to Observe the Resistance and Support.

如何判斷有效無效 就是交易量

How to judge if Resistance and Support is working or not, is by Volume.

越多人交易代表越大的波動性

The more people is trading, which means we could have bigger volatility

"代表越強的集體共識"

It also meant we have stronger collective awareness.

---------------------------------

接下來我們看日線

Next up we go to Daily candle stick.

為什麼昨日我們沒有繼續突破新高

Why we didn't make a new high yesterday.

我認為有很大一部分是因為日線的收斂三角

I think it's because of daily Symmetrical triangle.

我們昨日碰到日線的收斂三角 然後拉一個上影線

We touched the Resistance of the triangle and having a upper candle here.

上影線代表有阻力

Upper shadow means resistance.

不過這代表我們轉弱勢了嗎?

But does it mean we're turning into Bearish?

如果就日線來分析

Based on the Daily candle, we're still in the sideway.

我們現在仍屬於盤整狀態 "現在"並沒有明顯的轉強或是轉弱

We're not see a strong up/downtrend "for now"!

-----------------------------------------

影片連結

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bwIXB6pnwyE&ab_channel=DuckTech