2022/02/03 BTC技術分析 BTC Technical Analysis

昨日我提到BTC需要有帶量的突破39160與40483 這兩個相對重要的短期阻力位

Yesterday I mentioned about BTC need to be break 39160 and 40483 this two short term resistance with volume.

現在我們看到4小時K棒在昨日並沒有成功的突破 現在往下去測支撐位

Now we're seeing 4 hour candle didn't breakout yesterday, now it goes down to retest support line.

這裡對於支撐位有兩種看法

Now for our support line, we have 2 ways to read it.

一個是較長的周期(較下面那條) 現已跌破

We can see a line which is longer period (now has broken)

一個是更短期的支撐(目前還未跌破)

And another one is shorter term support (now it doesn't break down yet)

這兩個都還是屬於收斂三角形態

Each support line are still forming ascending triangle pattern.

有了圖形接下來看交易量

Now we have pattern, next up is volume.

所以在這裡交易量也分成兩種看法

Volume we also has 2 ways to read.

你要視為這個跌破是沒有交易量是合理的 因為交易量並沒有突破下降壓力線

If you consider this breakdown is without volume which is reasonable because it didn't break downtrend line.

看更短周期的話現在交易量是有進來的 所以你要當成有交易量也是可以

Looking at shorter period, volume did come in(because it break downtrend line), so you also can take this as with volume.

在這種很難判斷的情況下 你當然可以去開一些做空的倉位 是可以嘗試看看的

So if we're in such situation, not so sure, of course you can take some small position to try.

不過我會更趨向於現在短期是"還沒有"跌破短期支撐位

But for me, I'm more prefer to take this example as it didn't break down yet.

但只要再來一根有量的紅K下去 就很容易會形成Lower High-Lower low型態(上篇文章的日K圖片)

If we're seeing another red candle with volume, we could easily see Lower High-Lower low configuration. (Last article's daily candle stick)

技術分析他不可能每次都很神準的預測某個價位帶一定很重要

Technical can't predict every time we're having this important price prediction.

只是當我們有這些方法 就統計學上來講 這是可以提高我們勝率的一個方法

It just that when we have technical analysis, from statics, it can help us to have a higher winning rate.