2022/02/05 BTC 技術分析 BTC Technical Analysis

承02/03文章39160與40483會是重要阻力

From last last article, I mentioned about 39160 and 40483 will be a important resistance.

我們看到現在BTC剛突破下降楔型的阻力 但是目前並"沒有帶量"(日K)

Now we're seeing BTC just broke out from this "Falling Wedge", but now this break out is without volume.

目前我已經有做一單槓桿5X 在39400入場

Now I've enter with a position with 5X leverage at 39400.

我的入場點比較高 因為我想要風險更低一些 選擇突破短期內所有高點在進場(黃色方框)

The reason why my entry point is higher is because I want to lower my risk.

I choose to wait until it break all highs (the yellow box)

就日線來說 現在我們要去測40600 也就是前波的支撐

For daily candle, we're testing 40600, which is previous support.

這裡因為跌破支撐 支撐變阻力

When we break support, support become resistance.

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我們來看更細一點的圖(4小時圖)

Let's take a closer chart(4 hour chart).

我會認為這裡40600會是下一個重要阻力

I believe our next important resistance will be 40600

我們看到之前前一波K棒測了好幾次 最後是帶量的跌破

We can see previous candle sticks has retested 4 times, eventually we broke down with volume.

現在我們還在測這個阻力 如果突破此阻力又帶量 那這裡就會是另外一個做多的點位

Now we're still retesting this support, if we see a breakout of 40400 with volume, this is another entry point.

那如果我們並沒有做突破 反而往下跌了 止損價位應該設置在哪裡?

Instead, what if we break down, where's the stop loss price?

取決於你的交易長度 如果是槓桿單 我會設置在39400 為什麼?

It depends on your trading period, if it's leverage position, I'll say it's 39400, why?

因為突破黃框也就是阻力 阻力變成支撐

Because we break through the yellow box(which is resistance), resistance will become support.

如果跌破支撐 理論上短期又要走弱勢

So if we're breaking support, in theory we should see bearish sign in short term

如果是用日線操盤 我會設置在36400 為什麼? (當然也可以設在39400)

If you're trading with daily candle, I'll put stop loss at 36400, why? (Of course 39400 is still ok)

因為我認為你操日線 交易所還要吃手續費 這樣短期多單操作下來

Because if you're playing longer term, the trading exchange will take commission fee, for short term with many trades.

即使有小賺你也很容易被手續費吃光 所以我會選擇看更長期一點的支撐位

Even you make some money, these money will take away by trading exchange easily.

So for me, I'll look for longer term support.