2022/02/15 BTC技術分析 BTC Technical Analysis

今天我們先來回顧02/13的文章

So let's take a look back the article I wrote in 02/13.

這是當時的猜測

Here's the assumption at that time (a potential inverse head and shoulder forming)

這是今天的日線圖

Here's BTC looks now.

我沒有要炫耀說我預測接下來的走勢

I'm not showing off I predicted the following trend.

我也並沒有進場做多藍色這段

I didn't put a long position for this blue line.

這邊我要提倡宣導的是"不要預設立場"

Here I want to say don't expect this will be happened.

不要預設立場說藍色這段一定會上揚

Never guess or gamble the blue line is going to happen.

因為你在藍色這段預設立場 對我來說就是非常不穩定的訊號

Cause if you believe this blue line will definitely work, to me it's an unstable signal.

即使藍色這段上揚了沒錯 但如果還是沒有成功突破45671 我認為意義不大

Even it did go up, but if we're still not breaking 45671, it's not going to be meaningful.

整體的趨勢就還是會不上不下

Because the overall trend is still unstable.

在過去的好幾篇文章我都有提到

Over the past many article I've mentioned.

除非強勢突破頸線45671否則我並不會去做買進 這邊需要的是交易紀律

Unless it break out of 45671 strong, or I'm Not going to put a long position.

Here what we need is to stick with your trading strategy.

那之前在02/07我也提到其實已經可以開始慢慢買進一些倉位

Also in 02/07 article, I also mentioned you can put some small position already.

As long as the price don't go down fast.

之後我們看到連續4天都下跌 但是此下跌並不是強烈的往下

So after the top (02/07), we see price goes down for 4 days.

But this correction is not strong.

那我認為相對重要的支撐會位於41760與41145左右

Then where's the key support?

I would say it's going to be around 41760 and 41145.

為什麼呢 我們可以看接下來1小時圖

Here's why, let's take a look at 1 hour chart.

我們可以看到兩個藍色圈圈 突破41667阻力位之後 阻力後來變為支撐位

So we can see these 2 blue circle, when breaking 41667 Resistance, Resistance become Support.

昨日文章中也有提到 1小時Ema Ribbon可能會成為阻力位

In yesterday's article, I also mentioned that 1 hour Ema Ribbon could be our new Resistance.

但是突破時必須帶量 否則此阻力位有可能無效

But if we break out of this Ema ribbon without volume, this Resistance could be useless.

所以在左邊紅圈看到一開始的確是有站上1小時Ema Ribbon

So for the red circle we do see it stand up 1 hour Ema Ribbon at the beginning.

但是之後又走弱勢 但又走強勢 所以在這邊的選擇我並不會做短期的槓桿多單

But after the short breakout without volume, we see a correction going down, and then breakout again.

So overall here I wouldn't put a long position for short term leverage trade.

這裡我認為最好的做多點位目前還是45671

I still believe if we want to see a bigger pump in the future, we need to see BTC price breakout of 45671 this key Resistance.

如果未來我們可以看到突破帶量45671 我認為是最好的做多點位

But of course we need to see volume coming in to break 45671 is the best condition.