2022/03/24 BTC技術分析 BTC Technical Analysis

好幾天沒分析一下比特幣了

It's been serval days that we haven't look at BTC price.

先從一小時k棒下手

We look at 1 hour candle first.

在上篇文章中我提到BTC最近會很難做波段 沒有比較明顯的波動

In last article, I mentioned that BTC is going to be hard to do swing trade, we didn't see really big moves for BTC.

我之前畫的這些紅色平行線還是可以使用的 我個人認為還是比較準確

I still think these red lines are still useful.

各位有時間我還是比較推薦把它畫起來

分別是42516/41653/41085/40475/39835

If you guys has free time, I recommend you guys to mark these red lines in Trading View.

These lines are 42516/41653/41085/40475/39835.

這裡我們看到BTC開始形成收斂三角形態

Now we can see BTC is forming a small ascending triangle

最好的情況是 當圖形形成之後 我們看到交易量是屬於遞減的情況

The best condition here is that we see pattern is formed, next up is volume descending.

交易量遞減代表這是在累積量 準備去做突破/跌破

When the volume is descending, it means it's accumulating volume, ready to break out/down.

那麼接下來要判斷突破/跌破時是有量還是沒量

Next is to judge breakout/down with volume or without volume.

我們就可以利用交易下降壓力線當作一個基準

Here we can use this Downtrend volume resistance as a standard.

那麼會分成兩種情況 突破/跌破時 有交易量跟沒交易量

Now we'll facing 2 conditions, breakout/down with/without volume.

最好的情況是有看到交易量突破下降壓力線

The best situation is to see volume break above the downtrend resistance.

交易量多 代表成交的人數也多

The more volume we have, the amount of money is bigger, our trading strategy is easier to success.

成交人數越多 金額越大 集體共識越強

那麼交易量少我們該怎麼辦

Then what if we didn't see volume coming in?

你仍然可以選擇進場

You still can put long/short position, but usually it's going to be weak after the breakout/down.

但是通常來說

過一陣子這種突破就很容易會後繼無力

接下來看日線

Next we move to Daily candle stick.

日線這裡BTC看起來也有出現大型的收斂三角

Here daily BTC we're also having bigger symmetrical triangle coming in.

那我們也可以看到由於日線在這裡不斷的累積量

Here we see that it's accumulating volume here.

所以我們在這裡也沒有看到什麼大的波動(就短時間來看)

So here we didn't really see big moves for prices(for short term trader.)